H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Dead ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened decently because Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was initially expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and very powerful cyclone that caused massive destruction and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are expected in some of these areas. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (locally up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated typhoon cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists formerly warned hurricanes could form in unusual areas later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious hazards and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy